{
  "notice": "Please credit \"Is software solved?\" and the sources listed in credits when you reuse these numbers. They are our own aggregates. For original records, go to each source.",
  "id": "token-prices",
  "name": "AI token prices",
  "question": "Is AI getting cheaper to use?",
  "metric": "Median listed price per 1M tokens across AI models from their makers, with 3 input tokens per output token",
  "solvedIf": "Using AI becomes close to free",
  "value": "$2.00",
  "change": "-27%",
  "trend": [
    {
      "label": "2023-10",
      "value": 16.44
    },
    {
      "label": "2023-11",
      "value": 16.44
    },
    {
      "label": "2023-12",
      "value": 12
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-01",
      "value": 4.1
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-02",
      "value": 12
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-03",
      "value": 4.1
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-04",
      "value": 4.05
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-05",
      "value": 4.05
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-06",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-07",
      "value": 3.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-08",
      "value": 3
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-09",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-10",
      "value": 3.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-11",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2024-12",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-01",
      "value": 3.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-02",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-03",
      "value": 3.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-04",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-05",
      "value": 3.25
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-06",
      "value": 3
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-07",
      "value": 3
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-08",
      "value": 3
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-09",
      "value": 3
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-10",
      "value": 2.89
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-11",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2025-12",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-01",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-02",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-03",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-04",
      "value": 1.93
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-05",
      "value": 2
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-06",
      "value": 2
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-07",
      "value": 2
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-08",
      "value": 2.75
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-09",
      "value": 1.56
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-10",
      "value": 1.93
    },
    {
      "label": "2026-11",
      "value": 2
    }
  ],
  "trendLabel": "Median listed price in dollars per 1M tokens, per month, with 3 input tokens per output token.",
  "score": 47,
  "scoreReason": "Down 88% since October 2023, when the data starts.",
  "analysis": {
    "title": "Are prices falling per model?",
    "intro": "Mostly not. The median falls because newer, cheaper models arrive, not because existing models get repriced.",
    "points": [
      "Of 79 models listed both in 2025-11 and 2026-11, 71 kept their price, 4 got cheaper and 4 got more expensive.",
      "Cheaper tokens do not always mean cheaper work, because a task can use more tokens on a newer model.",
      "On the FrontierSWE benchmark, a hard task costs from about $99 of AI usage for a near-top score to about $1,030 for the top score.",
      "Everyday use can cost far less. OpenCode reports an average of about 5 cents per session on DeepSeek V4.1 Flash, the most used model on its platform (OpenCode Data, opencode.ai/data, updated Nov 1, 2026, 10:18 AM UTC)."
    ]
  },
  "fromHigh": "-88% from high",
  "status": "Getting cheaper",
  "rule": "Getting cheaper when the median listed price is lower than a year before.",
  "direction": "toward",
  "checks": [
    {
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "value": "$2.00",
      "change": "-27%",
      "status": "Getting cheaper"
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "value": "$2.00",
      "change": "-27%",
      "status": "Getting cheaper"
    }
  ],
  "url": "/signals/token-prices",
  "api": "/api/signals/token-prices.json",
  "credits": [
    {
      "name": "LiteLLM model prices",
      "url": "https://github.com/BerriAI/litellm",
      "signal": "token-prices",
      "license": "MIT",
      "credit": "Calculated from the LiteLLM model price file by BerriAI, MIT License."
    },
    {
      "name": "OpenCode Data",
      "url": "https://opencode.ai/data",
      "signal": "token-prices",
      "license": "No data license published",
      "credit": "OpenCode Data (opencode.ai/data), updated Nov 1, 2026, 10:18 AM UTC."
    }
  ]
}